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Independence and combinatorics

Two events are independent when P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B)P(A\cap B) = P(A)P(B) — one happening does not change the probability of the other. Factorial n!n! counts the number of orderings of nn distinct things, while the binomial coefficient (nk)\binom{n}{k} counts the number of ways to choose kk of nn when order does not matter.

P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B)P(A\cap B) = P(A)P(B)requirement for independence
(nk)=n!k!(n−k)!\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}number of ways to choose kk of nn

Symbols

nntotal number of items
kknumber chosen

Example

Choosing 3 of 4 components: (43)=4\binom{4}{3} = 4 ways.

Ordering 6 distinct parts: 6!=7206! = 720 orderings.

Disjoint events (cannot happen together) are almost never independent — they are in fact strongly dependent.
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Part of Statistics and Risk Analysis: Probability.